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Cash-Over-Valuation for HDB PDF Print E-mail
Written by Wilfred Ling   
Friday, 22 January 2010

I read in the newspaper today that HDB resale flats “cash-over-valuation” keeps on rising. In one case, it was mentioned that a resale 5 room HDB flat cost $730,000 with a COV of $85,000! On average, the median COV from Q3 to Q4 rosed by 150% - 200% depending on location. I find this to be excessive and unreasonable.

Due to the 99 years leasehold nature of HDB flat, the long-term value of HDB flat could only depreciate due to limited life. If anyone would to pay off their HDB loan completely, they will receive the Title Deed which shows that the “owner” is only leasing from HDB. The owner does not have a permanent legal ownership over the property. Thus, putting so much money into an asset with no long-term value is silly. Some people thinks that they have no wish to hold on the HDB flat for long term stay and so they want to “ride” the property wave. I find this reasoning very silly too. Property transaction is expensive and logistically a burden. Moreover, you cannot “flip” a HDB property. There is a minimum holding period implying that there is generally a lack of liquidity for the initial period after purchase.

People who put so much money to purchase into a HDB flat are actually destroying their own wealth. Why? If you put $730,000 into an asset with a long-term value of zero, it implies that you are actually getting poorer if you hold on to it. Every year, the market has to factor in the depreciation cost. If the general market does not rise sufficiently enough to offset the depreciation, the value of the property decreases. What is very sure is that on 99th year, the value of the property is zero. Some people have very short term sight. They felt that they will not live long enough to see their property. However, they are not prudent. They should think about their children. Because HDB flat has no long-term value, it is likely their children will get to inherit a small and insignificant value of the property despite the parents putting so much money into it. As a result, children will grow up borrowing huge amount of money just like what the present generation is doing. So every generation ends up in debt and having poor standard of living.

Another reason why putting so much money into a HDB is unwise is because there are just too many government rules related to HDB. For example, if you are retired and in need of money and your only asset is the HDB (which has already fully paid), do you know that you cannot use your HDB as collateral to borrow money from the bank? What this means is that the value of the HDB as an asset is difficult to unlock. You have to sell and buy another property in order to “unlock” the value. This switching (selling and buying) incurs huge switching cost which only benefit everybody else except the seller. I find this rule of not able to refinance very silly but it is one of those silly government rules that people don’t know and don’t care. Another way to “unlock” the value is the lease buy back arrangement. But this means a shorter lease period which is the source of problem in the first place.

Here is my advice: Get a property that is reasonable and good enough to stay. Do not overpay for it especially if it is a 99 years leasehold. If you have any surplus cash, invest in liquid and simple investments with long-term prospect of appreciation. Avoid assets that destroy your wealth on a long-run especially those that comes with rules that changes almost on a yearly basis.

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Comments
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amy  - Cash over Valuation for HDB   |202.156.10.240 |2010-01-27 08:44:02
I just heard from my ex colleague that it is the PRs who have lots of cash that are pushing up the cash over valuation. Her son wanted to buy a HDB flat. Whilst there, the agent mentioned the COV to be S$30,000+, but when a Chinese PR turned up very soon later, he demanded COV at $50,000. In the end, this prospective buyer bought the flat at such ridiculous COV, to the detriment of the Singaporeans.
Angelina  - Cash over Valuation for HDB   |202.78.25.15 |2010-10-14 01:49:08
I totally agreed with you. The COV rules is really silly. Buying a house is already a long term committment, we have to pay 20% which comprises 15% CPF and 5% cash in order to buy 1. Somemore have to pay COV plus agent fees .. all our cash saving simply just wipe out. Then every mth still have to pay bank loan...I really cant imagine if we got retrench from our job, how are we going to pay off the loan??? so many worries, simply pop out when buying a house.
Mandy  - Cost-over Valuation   |203.116.251.235 |2011-08-22 10:52:08
Actually i constantly hear that the prices of cov is rising, but i don't really understand what is it and how does it work, would you be able to explain it to me?
Anonymous   |220.255.1.18 |2011-08-22 13:16:24
Err, actually HDB no Title Deed, only got Agreement For Lease. Nowadays even if you finish paying the mortgage, HDB won't give you the document. They will "keep for you" in HDB, unless you go to them and ask for it.

All these COV thing is basically applying private property practices to HDB market. In private property, both seller and buyer are free to engage their own valuer who will do their WAG (wild ass guess) and put a figure on the property. Then is up to both seller and buyer to bargain / negotiate a common price. This common price can be higher or lower than either of the valuers' prices. If you're taking up a bank loan, the bank will get their own valuer, as any price amount above the valuation amount cannot be considered for loan.

For HDB, you need to use their approved panel of valuers. Last time HDB even got dedicated in-house valuation department and everybody must use them. Last time, also no resale HDB market --- you have to sell your flat back to HDB at their valuation price or even at only 90% of the valuation price. Last time you also cannot use CPF to pay for HDB flat --- all use your take-home pay and cash savings only.

In the late 1980s, PAP liberalise the HDB. So you can use CPF to pay mortgage and buy flats. And can re-sell HDB flats to other people. They simply use private property practices as the most obvious and easiest method.
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